Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.368024 0.406887 0.448594 0.496760 0.550951 0.610146 0.679850
2025-04-27 0.307724 0.362028 0.424599 0.502372 0.596925 0.708749 0.851895
2025-05-04 0.272884 0.334506 0.408952 0.506209 0.630929 0.786865 0.998730
2025-05-11 0.246675 0.312458 0.395010 0.507308 0.657772 0.854805 1.136310
2025-05-18 0.228092 0.297174 0.386756 0.512990 0.688784 0.928664 1.287272
2025-05-25 0.206950 0.276067 0.368205 0.501982 0.694540 0.966814 1.390279
2025-06-01 0.195215 0.266321 0.363641 0.509066 0.725202 1.041629 1.553378
2025-06-08 0.181774 0.252903 0.352534 0.505249 0.738793 1.091556 1.682653
2025-06-15 0.172278 0.244218 0.347239 0.509062 0.763471 1.159643 1.847049
2025-06-22 0.160791 0.231703 0.335244 0.501444 0.769241 1.197809 1.965249
2025-06-29 0.151240 0.221346 0.325615 0.496473 0.778348 1.241495 2.096696
2025-07-06 0.138949 0.206011 0.307307 0.476206 0.760469 1.238152 2.143720
2025-07-13 0.133314 0.200714 0.304405 0.480920 0.785203 1.310564 2.338888
2025-07-20 0.128173 0.195860 0.301862 0.485998 0.810957 1.387216 2.551635
2025-07-27 0.123194 0.190906 0.298747 0.489711 0.834370 1.461476 2.768337
2025-08-03 0.118100 0.185426 0.294355 0.490768 0.852876 1.528062 2.977401
2025-08-10 0.114229 0.181703 0.292604 0.496238 0.879788 1.612936 3.235043
2025-08-17 0.107785 0.173291 0.282359 0.485640 0.875371 1.635879 3.361700
2025-08-24 0.104796 0.170563 0.281704 0.492460 0.904921 1.729421 3.657026
2025-08-31 0.100292 0.164967 0.275676 0.488786 0.913401 1.780325 3.861120
2025-09-07 0.097251 0.161744 0.273639 0.492457 0.936794 1.864589 4.155037
2025-09-14 0.092749 0.155703 0.266175 0.485123 0.936961 1.898726 4.331279
2025-09-21 0.088909 0.150649 0.260229 0.480337 0.942004 1.943943 4.541283